Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 1.738422 1.996961 2.281154 2.616804 3.002534 3.432121 3.947129
2025-06-22 1.387747 1.728905 2.135355 2.655627 3.304590 4.088348 5.108369
2025-06-29 1.116255 1.491111 1.969710 2.626348 3.505452 4.644201 6.235579
2025-07-06 0.888494 1.261958 1.768727 2.507896 3.561310 5.013080 7.174085
2025-07-13 0.786267 1.180142 1.744731 2.614980 3.927205 5.839866 8.854493
2025-07-20 0.708569 1.118063 1.734945 2.734682 4.321510 6.755386 10.796854
2025-07-27 0.639498 1.056270 1.713305 2.828147 4.682890 7.663939 12.857050
2025-08-03 0.571205 0.984026 1.662644 2.863933 4.951194 8.454168 14.833352
2025-08-10 0.494674 0.885976 1.554591 2.785500 5.012019 8.901513 16.282499
2025-08-17 0.421232 0.782235 1.421685 2.642714 4.935796 9.094250 17.295425
2025-08-24 0.375077 0.720874 1.354702 2.607805 5.046687 9.630002 19.007269
2025-08-31 0.334663 0.664470 1.288893 2.564769 5.133574 10.127189 20.707007
2025-09-07 0.318644 0.654685 1.312962 2.705523 5.611203 11.464886 24.332774
2025-09-14 0.292464 0.620992 1.285994 2.740602 5.882030 12.432210 27.353091
2025-09-21 0.262835 0.575970 1.230063 2.707497 6.005545 13.113709 29.870472
2025-09-28 0.229163 0.517518 1.138186 2.583766 5.914320 13.323284 31.371818
2025-10-05 0.218371 0.508094 1.150553 2.693187 6.360843 14.780697 35.973517
2025-10-12 0.209317 0.501313 1.167753 2.815948 6.855905 16.418280 41.263802
2025-10-19 0.199033 0.490159 1.173358 2.911890 7.300692 18.000289 46.668736
2025-10-26 0.185917 0.470294 1.155743 2.948553 7.604613 19.283568 51.518101
2025-11-02 0.167427 0.434477 1.094781 2.867665 7.598384 19.791718 54.413999
2025-11-09 0.147561 0.392395 1.012715 2.720557 7.397536 19.770760 55.873042
2025-11-16 0.135363 0.368770 0.974606 2.684573 7.489482 20.534327 59.639168